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Week 6 NFL Betting Power Rankings

Posted by Matthew Forrester on 10/16/2015 5:38:44 PM

Do you want a case in point of why it’s dumb to use recent history to define the current state of the season? The San Francisco 49ers and Baltimore Ravens play each other this week in the biggest Super Bowl rematch nobody could give two shoes about. So when you see Atlanta, Cincinnati and a Pittsburgh team led by Michael Vick at the top of the heap, just know I’m as baffled as you are.

Let’s break down this week’s NFL Betting Power Rankings and highlight the Week 6 betting board while we’re at it. Head to the sportsbook to get your bets in early!

*Note– the Patriots were listed at 4-0 SU and ATS last weekend, and were in reality 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS

1. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS)

The Patriots are in a league of their own. They might kill everyone on their schedule, especially since the only challenging games they have are grudge matches against the Manning brothers.

Next Game: New England -8.5 at Indianapolis

2. GREEN BAY PACKERS (5-0 SU and ATS)

I’m not completely sold that the Packers are much better than the poop salad that is the top-10 this season. They only managed 14 first downs on Sunday, and they lack that offensive explosiveness that made them world beaters in years past. That’s the only reason they’re sliding here. They might not even be the second best team if Dallas could stay healthy.

Next Game: San Diego at Green Bay -10.5

3. CINCINNATI BENGALS (5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS)

My friend texted me that, “Andy Dalton is one of the best quarterbacks this season” My first reaction was to drive to his house and throw my phone at him. But then I thought about it, and replied, “We’re talking just this season, right?” and he concurred. I mean he’s top three in touchdowns, yards and quarterback rating and only has two interceptions. We can give a guy a bone in the vortex of a single season right? Go Andy Dalton! We think we like you!

Next Game: Cincinnati -3 at Buffalo

4. ARIZONA CARDINALS (4-1 SU and ATS)

The absolutely mind-boggling part of Arizona dropping 42 points on Detroit is that they only needed Carson to attempt 14 passes to do so. The rushing attack only tallied 21 carries as well. I would not fall asleep on this team. That Rams game is turning out to be one, gigantic outlier.

Next Game: Arizona -3.5 at Pittsburgh

5. ATLANTA FALCONS (5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS)

You know you’re a complete degenerate when you lose your mind that Atlanta doesn’t go for two after scoring a touchdown in overtime just so they could cover the spread.

Next Game: Atlanta -3.5 at New Orleans

6. PITTSBURGH STEELERS (3-2 SU and 4-0-1 ATS)

Let’s just all agree that the Wildcat doesn’t work in the NFL and stop using it, ok?

Next Game: Arizona -3.5 at Pittsburgh

7. DENVER BRONCOS (5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS)

In general, a superstar player should be happy when he signs the equivalent of a max market deal. But how goddamn thrilled is Demaryius Thomas that he banked in his potential last summer before Peyton’s arm became a piece of linguine?

Next Game: Denver -4.0 at Cleveland

8. CAROLINA PANTHERS (4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS)

The undefeated Panthers have Seattle, Philly, Indy and Green Bay in the next month. And I’m telling you right now that a defense that this defense is worth getting behind. Carolina is the epitome of a bet blind team. Shut up, don’t ask questions and enjoy everyone betting against them so you get a cozier point cushion.

Next Game: Carolina at Seattle -7

9. NEW YORK JETS (3-1 SU and ATS)

The Jets have a truly stacked defense, two game-breaking receivers a terrific coach…and they’re stuck with Ryan Fitzpatrick for the foreseeable future. And if he goes down for whatever reason, they get Geno Smith. It’s like the Jets aren’t allowed to have nice things.

Next Game: Washington at NYJ -7.

10. NEW YORK GIANTS (3-2 SU and ATS)

Did ODB just combine every touchdown dance he’s ever seen in to one, awful abomination? Because that’s what it looked like.

Next Game: NYG at Philadelphia -5.5

11. MINNESOTA VIKINGS (2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS)

Nobody on the planet is more excited to get screwed over by the Vikings as they go through a glutton of awful teams including Kansas, Detroit, Chicago and St. Louis. You can do this, Zimmerman!!! PLEASE DO THIS I NEED TO WIN MONEY!

Next Game: Kansas City at Minnesota -3.5

12. CLEVELAND BROWNS (2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS)

The Browns have this really ugly habit of being a spot play as long as you can catch them in the right games. In 2014, they went 9-6-1 ATS, and basically covered in every other game for the majority of the season. Two years ago, they lured everyone in with a 5-4 ATS start before ending the season 1-6 ATS. Prior to that, they went 8-7-1 ATS. Prepare to be routinely frustrated by The Most Impossible Team To Bet Properly in the NFL.

Next Game: Denver -4.0 at Cleveland

13. OAKLAND RAIDERS (2-3 SU and ATS)

I said it last week – the Raiders are officially the team that plays up and down to their competition. They lost 10-16 against a DEN -5.0 line last week after getting eaten alive by the Chicago Bears. Unfortunately, the oddsmakers have probably caught in to this which is why that DEN-OAK line was so low to begin with. Fortunately, we don’t have to worry about them in Week 6.

Next Game: BYE Week

14. BUFFALO BILLS (3-2 SU and ATS)

This is how bad the season has become: the Buffalo Bills are the 14th best bet in the league and are starting a quarterback they wish they hadn’t ever drafted. Before that they were relying on a guy who had been in the league for five years and nobody cared. And somehow, they’re still a more comfortable team to bet than 18 other NFL teams. I’m so glad I’m already a borderline alcoholic, because stuff like this would drive me off the deep end otherwise.

Next Game: Cincinnati -3 at Buffalo

15. ST. LOUIS RAMS (2-3 SU and ATS)

Nick Foles shouldn’t be allowed to do anything other than launch deep balls to Tavon Austin or hand the ball of to Todd Gurley from now on. That might actually be a winning formula considering how violent this defense is.

Next Game: BYE Week

16. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (2-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS)

The definition of a game manager is someone who hands the ball off a lot, makes some “big throws” here and there and then lets his all-world defense do all the work. That was the case with guys like Brad Johnson in Tampa and Trent Dilfer in Baltimore. Russell fits that definition doesn’t he? It’s apparent that this offence can’t do a damn thing without Marshawn after getting shutout in the second half offensively by Cincinnati. No wonder the defensive personnel hates the guy.

Next Game: Carolina at Seattle -7.0

17. WASHINGTON REDSKINS (2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS)

That Matt Jones eruption was fun while it lasted all of three seconds.

Next Game: Washington at NYJ -7.0

18. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (3-2 SU and 1-4 ATS)

“Ok guys, whatever you do, do NOT say anything about the footballs this weekend when we’re getting crushed by the Patriots!”

Next Game: New England -8.5 at Indianapolis

19. SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS)

I enjoyed how Antonio Gates came back from his suspension from PED’s looking game ready. Funny how that works, right? “That 35-year old steroid abuser looks pretty spry for a guy his age!”

Next Game: San Diego at Green Bay -10.5

20. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (2-3 SU and ATS)

The Eagles have got to be the Kool-Aid team of 2015. You just can’t help but get sucked in by Chip Kelly. You know how I know they’re the Kool-Aid team of this season? They’re favored against the freaking Giants in prime time! Drink up, oddsmakers.

Next Game: NYG at Philadelphia -5.5

21. TENNESSEE TITANS (1-3 SU and 3-1 ATS)

I mean, 3-1 ATS isn’t bad for a team with a rookie quarterback who doesn’t have a high ceiling and no offensive weapons to throw to, or a running game to speak of.

Next Game: Miami at Tennessee -1.5

22. DALLAS COWBOYS (2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS)

Things are bad when Darren McFadden leads the team in touches in any week. Things are even worse when you’re resorting to Matt Cassell as your starter in Week 7.

Next Game: BYE Week

23. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (2-3 SU and ATS)

Games where Jameis attempts less than 21 passes: Tampa is 2-0 SU and ATS

Games where Jameis attempts more than 21 passes: Tampa is 0-3 SU and ATS

Just saying…

Next Game: BYE Week

24. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS)

Name me 15 other quarterbacks you’d rather have right now to build around other than Blake Bortles. I bet you can name like 8 before you start talking yourself in to Bortles.

Next Game: Houston at Jacksonville -1.0

25. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS)

In what was a remarkably entertaining game, the highlight had to be Colin Kaepernick proclaiming that the Niners could still go 12- 4 SU with 11 games left to. If the Niners go 12-4 SU I’m going to eat my laptop.

Next Game: Baltimore -2.5 at San Francisco

26. CHICAGO BEARS (2-3 SU and ATS)

Who cares!? Go Cubs!

Next Game: Chicago at Detroit -3.0

27. HOUSTON TEXANS (1-4 SU and ATS)

I sincerely wish Brian Hoyer and Ryan Mallett did a weekly podcast venting their agony over their current situation. Wouldn’t that be wildly entertaining?

Next Game: Houston at Jacksonville -1.0

28. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS)

I know that we play games to win, but when you’re down 10-39 late in the fourth, why is an already-injured Drew Brees out there, hustling a meaningless two-minute drill that doesn’t even have the hope of covering the spread.

Next Game: Atlanta -3.5 at New Orleans

29. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (1-4 SU and ATS)

Fantasy football turns us in to bad people. I picked up Charcandrick West on Sunday morning and dumped Knile Davis after dragging his carcass around on my bench for a month and being bored. Then Jamaal goes down and for a spit second I’m like, “YES! I HAVE AN RB3!!!” Then I realized what an awful person I was being. Jamaal’s injury was easily the saddest news of Week 5.

Next Game: Kansas at Minnesota -4.0

30. MIAMI DOLPHINS (1-3 SU and ATS)

The Dolphins have as much hope of turning their season around as Ryan Tannehill does of living up to his contract.

Next Game: Miami at Tennessee -1.5

31. BALTIMORE RAVENS (1-4 SU and 0-4-1 ATS)

Jim: “So there’s like two tough games a year in college football and they treat you like a god?”

John: “Yeah man! It’s the freaking best!”

Next Game: Baltimore -2 at San Francisco

32. DETROIT LIONS (0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS)

Look at their schedule and tell me that Detroit doesn’t become the first franchise to record two winless seasons.

Next Game: Chicago at Detroit -3.0

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