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Sunday Night NFL Betting Free Pick – Are Seahawks In Real Trouble?

Posted by Matthew Forrester on 9/20/2015 1:59:10 PM

The Seattle Seahawks ended last year on a play-calling controversy and have rolled right in to the 2015 season with another one. Marshawn Lynch’s own mother has lambasted the team for their poor decisions against St. Louis, especially when they went for an onside kick in overtime instead of trusting their defence. Can they build any momentum against a Packers team that will be out for revenge?

To be fair, the Sunday Night NFL betting spread on this game or only slightly above the natural home line Green Bay would be getting to begin with so don’t read too much in to it.

It’s important to note, however, that Seattle remains without Kam Chancellor, who was a huge part of their defence last year. They still have a lot of important parts, but the absence of Chancellor was especially noticeable last week as Nick Foles piled up 297 yards and a passing score with no turnovers.

Nick Foles is no Aaron Rodgers, and even without Jordy Nelson, the Packers seem to be humming along at the pace that made them a Super Bowl contender last season. Rodgers went 18-for-23 for 189 yards and 3 touchdowns while the Packers had 133 yards on the ground in what amounted to a dismantling of the Bears.

Seattle Seahawks (0-1) vs. Green Bay Packers (1-0)

Sunday, September 20th --- Lambeau Field --- 8:30pm EST

Sunday Night NFL Betting Line: Green Bay -3.5 (49.0)

Now, the Bears are not the Seahawks, and what’s noticeable about Green Bay’s game last weekend is that Matt Forte ripped them to shreds on the ground with 24 carries for 141 yards and a touchdown. But it’s been a long time since Green Bay was a run stopping team, and they’ve been doing just fine. Still, Seattle should take some motherly advice and feed Lynch regardless.

That was the case last year when Lynch rumbled for 157 yards and a touchdown in a game that Green Bay was otherwise controlling when these two titans clashed in the playoffs last season. Rodgers was uncharacteristically mistake prone in that game as well, coughing up two picks. Without Chancellor, those worries are less prevalent.

The current situation of the Seahawks is not without merit – is the team really that good offensively? Has the rest of the league caught up to Russell Wilson’s somewhat limited playmaking ability as a pocket passer? Are the contract disputes of every single star on the roster starting to have a trickle down effect in the locker room?

Most importantly, after two, late-game gaffes by Pete Carroll, are the players starting to lose faith in him? Remember first and foremost that the Seahawks lost their defensive coordinator to Atlanta this offseason. You can’t just subtract him out of the equation along with a major secondary contributor like Chancellor and hope to enter Lambeau with lofty hopes.

The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the NFC and 33-16-2 ATS when playing at home. While the Seahawks are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games, they’re also just 1-3-1 ATS when playing these Packers. There’s a lot more going for the Packers in terms of trends for this Sunday Night NFL betting line that you’d expect.

For my money, there’s just more to love about the steady ship that Green Bay sails rather than the potential wreck that the Seahawks are hoping stays afloat. Don’t get me wrong – Seattle is still a great team, but they just lost to a combination of Foles and Cunningham. Now they have to face the best quarterback in the league.

The pressure is on Seattle right now. Usually, there are no make-or-break games this early on in the season. But with Seattle, that might very well be the case.

NFL Sunday Night Betting Pick: Green Bay -3.5 (UNDER)

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