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NFL Betting: Seahawks vs. Broncos Preview

Posted by Stan Jenkins on 1/28/2014 12:20:44 PM

The Super Bowl is now just six days away, which means the weather forecast can be pinned down a little bit better… but not fully. Everyone’s waiting to see what the four-day forecast is going to be for this game, the biggest one-day, one-game sports spectacle in the United States of America.

Super Bowl XLVIII – East Rutherford, N.J.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos

Odds: Broncos -1

Total: 47

The theater of Super Bowl will revolve around the weather, at least in the coming days. Experts generally agree that when a three-or four-day forecast is arrived at late Wednesday night or early Thursday morning, a major part of the betting landscape will be put in place. The expected three- or four-day forecast is supposed to be the accurate, dependable weather forecast, the one that isn’t too premature to change to any significant degree. Once the weather part of the equation is settled, then these teams can be assessed in a very specific context.

Here are the competing weather forecasts for this game at the moment: Most weather models have this game being played on a day when the high is expected to be in the mid- to high 30s. However, the game starts at 6:30 p.m. local time in New Jersey, which means the kickoff temperature should be a few degrees lower than the high for the day, probably in the mid- to low 30s. The temperature will then drop as the game goes on, reaching the 20s before the contest is over. A few models say that there’s about a 10 percent chance of precipitation – either a light snow or a freezing rain – during the game, a downgrade from recent models in which there was a 30 percent chance of snow. In just about every forecast, there isn’t supposed to be a strong wind during the game, though a freezing and driving rain will certainly work in favor of the Seahawks – not just because they’re used to rain in Seattle, but because a cold rain could pose problems for Denver quarterback Peyton Manning as he tries to throw a tight spiral in this game. However, the lack of wind does mean that if precipitation does not emerge in this game, Manning will have the basic package of conditions that will enable him to function just fine. Remember that Manning can deal with the cold – he won relatively cold-weather games against San Diego in the playoffs and against Tennessee late in the regular season. The Sunday Night Football win over Kansas City (in Denver) was also a fairly cold-weather game. It’s wind or some nasty twist in the weather which affects Manning’s throws far more than the cold.

One model, from the site accuweather.com, is still predicting an awful weather scenario for this game, saying that an ice storm is possible and that slush could be part of the forecast for Sunday in New Jersey. This is naturally the scenario that Seattle wants, but it’s not likely to happen.

Prediction

It’s the weather which everyone is talking about, and while one can’t make strong predictions on the weather until Thursday, it’s looking like Denver is going to get the better of the weather forecast, with minimal wind and precipitation. Stay tuned, though.

Pick: Broncos -1

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