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NBA Lines – Which Teams are ‘Guaranteed’ to Win?

Posted by Brett Nielson on 4/15/2011 9:23:30 AM

Now that the favorites and underdogs are set, which wagers are the safest? Here are the top 3 most secure NBA Playoff lines.

(48-34) Portland Trail Blazers at (57-25) Dallas Mavericks
Live from American Airlines Center – TX
Tipoff: 9:30 PM EST Saturday, April 16, 2011
Broadcast: ESPN

NBA Lines
Dallas Mavericks -5.5
Portland Trail Blazers +5.5
Total 186.5

1. Dallas Mavericks (-5.5) vs. Portland Trail Blazers

The Dallas Mavericks really deserve more respect than NBA oddsmakers are giving them. The Mavs have excelled on each side of the court, and on a consistent basis this NBA lines season.

They rank amongst the top 10 teams in the NBA on total offense (having averaged over 100 points per game). They are also positioned in the top half of the league on their defensive performance, as they have allowed only 96 points per NBA lines match.

Additionally, Big D holds one of the most prolific power forwards in the game, the 12-year-pro Dirk Nowitzki. Nowitzki has yet again carried his team to the postseason, this time by scoring 23 points per game. Furthermore, the 7’0” animal has thrown 51.7 percent from the field and made nearly 40 percent of his 3-point attempts.

At (-5.5), the Dallas Mavericks seem like a no-brainer this NBA lines Saturday, going up against the much less threatening Portland Trail Blazers.

2. Los Angeles Lakers (-10) vs. New Orleans Hornets

The key to the Los Angeles’ victory during this NBA lines series against the New Orleans Hornets will be to play stellar defense.

Nielson Notice: The Los Angeles Lakers have won their first playoff game for three consecutive years.

Everybody knows just how marvelous the Lakers can be on the offensive side of the ball. With astounding playmakers in Kobe Bryant, Pau Gasol, Ron Artest, and Derek Fisher – even Andrew Bynum is beginning to look menacing offensively – Los Angeles can basically tally up their score against even the toughest oppositions.

The means to their NBA lines victory in this series will be effectively shutting down the Hornets’ offense. And the only way to accomplish that task is to stop their star point guard Chris Paul from finding his groove.

Opposing teams have already realized this tactic, and have successfully shut him down all season long. Paul has seen his points per game diminish over the lst thre seasons from 22.8 to 15.8. For this reason, New Orleans currently retains one of the worst performing offenses in the NBA, as they’ve averaged less than 95 points per game.

If Lakers coach Phil Jackson decides to give Paul a man-to-man coverage with his small forward Ron Artest (which is what he tends to do with opposing stars), it could turn into a very quick postseason for the Hornets.

3. Orlando Magic (-8) vs. Atlanta Hawks

The deciding factor in this Magic-Hawks series will be whether or not Atlanta will find a way to slow down Dwight Howard’s production.

It is no secret that Dwight Howard is basically the only reason why Orlando is such a contender. With 22.9 points and 14.1 rebounds per game, the 6’11” center has truly earned his right to be named an All-Star. So, if Atlanta wants to successfully defend against the Magic, they need to have the same game plan as the Lakers – go right to the source of their production.

Unfortunately, it is highly doubtful that the Hawks will be able to contain Howard in any way. If Atlanta chooses to play man-to-man defense, then Howard will be matched up with the Atlanta’s center, the inexperienced 3-year-pro Al Horford.

Look for the stars to excel in this matchup and control the flow of each game in the series.

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