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NBA Lines - Oklahoma's City

Posted by Elio Masi on 3/4/2012 1:02:12 PM

image credit: dannyb

NBA Lines – Oklahoma’s City

            Monday night marks the 4th NBA lines meeting of the season between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Dallas Mavericks. Oklahoma City currently leads the series 2 games to 1 and is looking to get the better of the season series with a decisive win Monday.

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder
Live Chesapeake Energy Arena – OK
Tipoff: 8:00 PM EST Monday, March 5, 2012
Broadcast: NBA TV

Oklahoma’s Recent Home Dominance

            Oklahoma City has been the biggest powerhouse in the NBA Lines thus far and their success is largely due to their home play. They are currently sitting atop the Western Conference and are a comfortable 4 games ahead of the second place San Antonio Spurs. They have been lights-out good at home, where they’ve only lost one game in 16 appearances. They have gone 12-3 in the month of February and – as of Saturday – they are riding a 7-game winning streak.

Dallas’ Turbulent Season & Road Woes

            The Mavericks – as many expected – have succumbed to the cursed Championship hangover. They have fallen on some hard times as of late, going 7-7 in the month of February and 5-5 in their last 10. They opened their season with 5 straight losses and have struggled to get back to their winning ways thus far this season. Though despite their poor start, they currently boast a 21-16 record and occupy the 6th place in the Western Conference. Unfortunately for them, they now have the burden of playing the Thunder at Chesapeake Energy Arena, consequently having to play another road game. Most of their struggles this season have come on the road and I suspect Monday won’t be any different. They have gone 8-9 on the road thus far this season and, as their NBA lines record shows, have had a hard time competing away from home.

Prior Meetings

            Oklahoma has won 2 of the 3 meeting this season against the Mavs, one at home and the other on the road. In the first of the three, Kevin Durant saved the day with a 30-point performance and led his team to a 104-102 victory. Dallas was ahead late in that game 102-101 with 1.9 seconds remaining until Durant buried a 3 pointer just as the clock ran out. Nowitzki had a great game for the Mavs, posting 29 points, though it was overshadowed by Durant’s brilliance. In the second meeting, Dallas defeated the 7-0 Thunder in a 100-87 finish, which saw Durant collect 27 points and Nowitzki 26. In their final meeting, the Thunder came up with a 95-86 victory. Oklahoma City PG Russell Westbrook came up huge in that game and led the team with 30 points to help his team to victory.

Who’s Hot

            Look for both Durant and Nowitzki to put forth phenomenal performances just like they have in their prior meetings this season. Durant is having another sensational year and is averaging 28 points per game while Nowitzki has elevated his game against the Conference leaders in every matchup thus far.

Elio’s Edge

            Oklahoma has just been too good at home for me to go with Dallas, even though I’m feeling this is going to be another close one. If Durant is on his game – and he usually is – Dallas is going to have a tough start. However, Nowitski has shown that he’s ready to go against the top teams and he can be very unpredictable in these kinds of games. I’m going with a 95-93 finish in what should definitely be a nail-biter.

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